Fox News Mark Thiessen on Immigration Democrats Give Trump the Upper Hand Again
POLITICO Playbook: Biden getting frustrated with Manchin and Sinema
HAPPY Altogether TO YOU: Rep. ILHAN OMAR (D-Minn.) was dissed past the White House on Monday — her birthday, no less. The whip of the Congressional Progressive Caucus was not invited to a Zoom session between progressives and President JOE BIDEN about his agenda. It'due south become a pattern in contempo weeks that's raised eyebrows. Rep. KATIE PORTER (D-Calif.) — another prominent House progressive also in CPC leadership, who at times has tangled with House Democratic leadership — was besides excluded.
THE Within GAME: Biden summoned progressives to the virtual coming together to deliver a simple message, per a senior White Firm official:
"He told them that the end betoken would be nearly $two trillion and he wanted their input on what it should look like."
It was part of a weeklong project by Biden, Speaker NANCY PELOSI and Senate Majority Leader CHUCK SCHUMER to allow it gradually sink in with liberals that the reconciliation beak actually will exist dramatically scaled back.
Nobody we talked to left the roughly 90-minute phone call with a detailed understanding of what might exist cut or how the new top line would be achieved.
Rep. KATHERINE CLARK (D-Mass.) chastened, calling on the eleven other House Democrats one past one starting with Rep. PRAMILA JAYAPAL (D-Wash.), who described for Biden her five buckets of priorities for the bill.
The accent, co-ordinate to i Firm Democrat, was much more on the policies they want to be included in the reconciliation bill — not the ones they're willing to scrap. "At that place wasn't a lot of movement on how we narrow it," said a source familiar with the call.
There were discussions about the tradeoffs between funding fewer programs for longer periods of time — or more than programs for shorter stints, in the hopes they'll prove popular and be renewed by future Congresses. Our colleagues report that the "White Business firm expressed openness to means examination certain policies, like free community college, to pare down the parcel's size."
But the main purpose was to convince progressives of political reality.
Biden spent a lot of time trying to explain how difficult information technology's been to bargain with Sens. JOE MANCHIN (D-West.Va.) and KYRSTEN SINEMA (D-Ariz.). "Information technology was a blunt conversation," said one Business firm Democrat who was in the coming together. Biden is "getting more and more than frustrated."
The source familiar with the discussion added that Biden said things similar, "'I hear your frustration. Yous don't take to talk to them every bit much every bit I have to talk to them' — simply then using it equally a dash of realism to get progressives to come up down, like, 'This is as far as these folks will get.'"
A grouping of Democratic House moderates will meet well-nigh with Biden today.
THE Exterior GAME: Biden will pause the intra-party diplomacy later on the meeting with moderates and wing to a swing commune in Michigan to promote his agenda.
Administration officials have also been exasperated that BBB has been divers by its price tag rather than its (mostly popular) component parts, and hope the trip will brainstorm to change that.
Our ears perk up when we hear these accounts of how the president will employ the bully pulpit to rally the public behind his agenda. Most politicians want to believe that information technology'south possible to exercise that. Merely in that location's a decades-long history of research that shows … it almost never works.
In fact, information technology often backfires, because a big presidential policy spoken language tin can sometimes serve to practise more to harden the opposition against his policy than to persuade voters to change their minds.
GEORGE C. EDWARDS, of Texas A&M and Oxford, who wrote the book on the subject area, said in an email that the "goal" of modernistic presidents "is to leverage public opinion to obtain backing for their proposals in Congress." But "most Republicans are impervious to his entreaties. Biden's predecessors, from RONALD REAGAN, the smashing communicator, to DONALD TRUMP, the smashing promoter, suffered the same outcome. They could not move the public."
But there'south still a reason to do it. While presidents struggle to move the public in a fashion that pushes Congress to act, they tin can sometimes boost their ain approval rating by associating themselves with popular policies. And that can strengthen Biden'southward hand with Congress in that inside game that awaits him dorsum in D.C.
Proficient Tuesday morn, and thanks for reading Playbook. Drop us a line: Rachael Bade, Eugene Daniels, Ryan Lizza, Tara Palmeri.
BIDEN'S TUESDAY:
— 9 a.m.: The president will receive the President's Daily Brief.
— ten:xv a.one thousand.: Biden will meet virtually with Firm Democrats to talk over the BIF and BBB.
— 11:30 a.yard.: Biden will depart the White House en route to Howell, Mich., where he is scheduled to arrive at i:55 p.m.
— 3 p.m.: The president will visit the International Matrimony of Operating Engineers Local 324 training facility, where he will deliver remarks at three:30 p.m.
— four:30 p.thou.: Biden volition depart Michigan to render to the White Firm, where he is scheduled to arrive at 6:40 p.chiliad.
Deputy press secretary KARINE JEAN-PIERRE will gaggle aboard Air Force One en route to Michigan.
VP KAMALA HARRIS' TUESDAY: The VP will participate in a virtual finance issue for the DNC at 6 p.grand.
THE SENATE will meet at 10 a.chiliad. to take up PALOMA ADAMS-ALLEN's nomination as deputy USAID administrator, with a cloture vote at eleven:30 a.yard. and a final vote at ii:15 p.g. The chamber will recess from 12:30 p.m. to 2:15 p.m. for weekly conference meetings. Facebook whistleblower FRANCES HAUGEN will testify before a Commerce subcommittee at 10 a.m.
THE Firm is out. FEMA Ambassador DEANNE CRISWELL will testify before the Oversight Committee at 11 a.m. SEC Chair GARY GENSLER volition testify before the Financial Services Commission at noon.
1000 STREET FILES
GUCCI GULCH ALERT — Lobbyists and business groups are spending big to provide air cover for Democrats opposed to the party'southward massive reconciliation pecker, NYT's Luke Broadwater reports. They "are working in overdrive to fight large swaths of it, such as raising taxes on the wealthy and corporations; expanding Medicare to cover dental, hearing and vision services; and proposed taxes and fees to cutting down on carbon emissions," he writes.
Two interesting data points from the story:
1) The how: "The attempt is unfolding less conspicuously than previous lobbying pushes; pandemic restrictions have limited large gatherings of lobbyists at the Capitol, so the corridor outside the Senate Finance Commission's office, which has long been known as 'Gucci Gulch,' is no longer overrun with shiny Italian shoes. But the campaign is proceeding equally intensely as e'er, via private meetings, Zoom calls, fund-raisers and the airwaves."
2) And these numbers: "More than than 4,000 lobbyists are working on budget and spending bug, co-ordinate to Open up Secrets … Ten major industries accept spent near $700 million this year on lobbying, the grouping said." That includes the U.S. Chamber, which has spent $xxx meg on lobbyists this year. And the pharmaceutical industry, which has pumped in about $15 million as part of an endeavor to kill Business firm Dems' proposal to lower the cost of prescription drugs.
CONGRESS
Forenoon MANCHIN — The W Virginia senator is once again giving Autonomous leaders heartburn, this fourth dimension on the debt ceiling. CNN's Manu Raju and Clare Foran report that Manchin "disagrees with the strategy top Democrats are pursuing in the standoff with Republicans over raising the national debt limit. Manchin said that Democrats 'shouldn't rule out anything,' including a upkeep procedure that Autonomous leaders have made clear they will not employ."
Read: reconciliation. More Manchin: "Nosotros merely can't let the debt ceiling lapse. Nosotros just can't … Nosotros tin can prevent default, we really can prevent it. And in that location'due south a way to practice that."
Meanwhile, Schumer is forging ahead on a vote Wed to enhance the borrowing cap under typical procedure and warning that the debt ceiling needs to exist addressed by the finish of the calendar week. WSJ has the latest.
RISKY BUSINESS — David Siders reports that Democratic frustration with Sinema is growing back abode in Arizona, and non just amidst young progressives. Nevertheless, he notes, she seems to exist making up for that with support across political party lines in "a land where Democrats are outnumbered by both Republicans and independents."
Related: NYT columnist Michelle Goldberg has a new op-ed asking, "What's Wrong With Kyrsten Sinema?"
The lede is quite something: "In 2003, JOE LIEBERMAN, at the time the worst Autonomous senator, traveled to Arizona to entrada for his party'southward presidential nomination and was regularly greeted by antiwar demonstrators. 'He's a shame to Democrats,' said the organizer of a protestation outside a Tucson hotel, a left-wing social worker named Kyrsten Sinema. 'I don't even know why he'due south running. He seems to want to go Republicans voting for him — what kind of strategy is that?'"
POLICY CORNER
TOP-ED — The WSJ editorial lath is warning that the Biden administration wants the IRS to snoop into your personal bank account in an endeavour to catch tax dodgers. It reflects a elevation GOP argument against the political party's reconciliation beak: that a bolstered IRS as envisioned by Democrats will infringe on privacy rights.
POLITICO SCOOP I — HAROLD KOH, senior adviser and the only political appointee on the Country Department's legal squad, is leaving his post, and sent a memo to the administration days agone criticizing its use of a Trump-era immigration policy, Alex Thompson and Alexander Ward scoop. In the memo, dated Oct. two, Koh wrote that the administration's use of Title 42 — a policy used to expel migrants from the southern border — is "illegal," "inhumane" and "not worthy of this Administration that I so strongly support."
— Related: Refugee admissions have hit a record depression in the 2022 fiscal year, AP'due south Julie Watson reports — fifty-fifty as Biden vowed a new direction post-Trump.
POLITICO SCOOP Ii — "Francis Collins to step downwardly as NIH director," past Megan Wilson, Sarah Owermohle and Erin Banco
Abortion LATEST — The Biden administration on Monday moved to "restore the federal family unit planning programme to the way information technology ran under the Obama administration, when clinics were able to refer women seeking abortions to a provider," AP's Ricardo Alonso-Zaldivar reports. The Trump assistants had previously put a restriction on referrals. Abortion clinic representatives say the White House'southward reversal could prompt more than 1,000 facilities to return as a event.
FACEBOOK FALLOUT
IN SUMMARY — The WSJ'southward bombshell serial "hints at a visitor whose all-time days are behind information technology," NYT's Kevin Roose opines.
MEANWHILE — Protocol's David Pierce breaks down what happened with the Facebook/Instagram/WhatsApp outage Mon, when "Facebook more than or less disappeared from the internet." It was the effect of seemingly just a routine technical error, and prompted no pocket-sized amount of glee from the company's haters. But, he writes, "[i]t was besides a reminder that the internet'southward infrastructure is still fragile and circuitous and always barely holding together."
Drudge's homepage Mon night told you everything you demand to know virtually the kind of week Facebook is having — and it was simply Monday.
Always Exist SELLING — Spotted at the Hudson News in DCA: Bob Costa. Costa picked upward a re-create of his new book, "Peril," and told the cashier he wrote it. He asked if she wanted him to sign information technology to help sell copies. Per our tipster, "The very dislocated cashier went forth with it and Costa signed all of the airport's copies of the book. (No one was purchasing the book at the fourth dimension.)" Pic
TOASTING FAILURE — The NRCC had some fun trolling Josh Gottheimer. Later the moderate Dem predicted during a Playbook Live interview concluding week he'd soon be "drinking a nice glass of champagne" to gloat passage of BIF, Republicans delivered a bottle of bubbly to his function. Gottheimer is probably drinking something harder these days …
BARKING NEWS — We got our paws on a large scoop: Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) is bringing back his bipawtisan dog Halloween party this year. Video from 2019
Mary Trump told SiriusXM Progress that she was served court papers for her uncle Donald's lawsuit against her — and the delivery person asked her to autograph a copy of her book.
Adriano Espaillat showed off his trip the light fantastic toe moves on Twitter.
John Eastman, the 2022 Trump legal adviser, is facing a complaint filed with the California Bar Clan over his memo about how to effort to overturn the election results.
Ron Conway, one of the original investors in Ozy Media, implored founder Carlos Watson to "accept every ounce of cash and … distribute information technology to" employees — rather than trying to salvage his disgraced visitor.
Marjorie K. Eastman, a combat veteran-turned-baron, is jumping into the crowded North Carolina Senate primary this morn, where Trump has already endorsed Ted Budd. She'll become the first serious female candidate in a male-domated race and is vowing to serve just two terms. Video here
The RNC honored former Senate Majority Leader and GOP presidential nominee Bob Dole and his wife, one-time Sen. Elizabeth Dole, on Sat for his 98th birthday with a resolution.
SNEAK PEEK — ABC News is debuting a new documentary film on Hulu on November. eleven chosen "3212 UN-REDACTED," the culmination of a three-twelvemonth investigation into the deaths of 4 members of an elite U.S. Special Forces team in Niger. "Through a network of confidential sources inside the military and intelligence community, the pic unravels the dark truth covered upwards past commanders at the highest levels of the armed forces. It blows the hat off of the official Pentagon narrative which pinned the blame on low-level soldiers to protect the careers of the senior officers responsible for the sick-blighted mission." Exclusive i:50 trailer … The poster
SPOTTED jubilant the birthday of fundraiser and Engage founder Rachel Pearson at Cafe Milano: Joe Hack, Nathan Daschle, Jane Adams, Mike Rogers, Kristi Rogers, Kate Dickens, Katharine Weymouth, Elizabeth Thorp, Jen Mormile, Tonya Williams, Holly Folio and Pam Thiessen.
FIRST IN PLAYBOOK — Grant Barbosa is joining Williams & Jensen as a primary. He well-nigh recently was a senior director of federal government affairs and policy at Emergent BioSolutions, and is a Kamala Harris alum.
EPA ARRIVAL LOUNGE — Kendra Barkoff Lamy is joining the EPA equally a senior adviser to Administrator Michael Regan. She is taking a leave of absence from SKDK, where she'south an SVP.
TRANSITIONS — Connie LaRossa is now head of national security policy on Google'due south federal policy team. She previously was a principal at Cornerstone Regime Affairs. … Molly Haigh is now chief of comms at the Center for Popular Democracy. She previously was founder of Megaphone Strategies, and is a FitzGibbon Media, 350.org and Obama '08 alum. …
… Reagan McCarthy is joining Pennsylvania GOP Senate candidate Jeff Bartos' campaign equally printing secretary. She previously was an editor at Townhall.com. … Jerry Sussman and Ted Chiodo are launching LangleyCyber, a cybersecurity firm. Sussman will be chief information security officer and previously was a senior technical intelligence officer with the CIA. Chiodo will be CEO and previously was COO at SKDK.
ENGAGED — Grace Rubinger, legislative assistant for Rep. Don Beyer (D-Va.), and Alex Casey, project manager at MGAC, got engaged Sat. They were originally set up by mutual friend Pablo Sierra-Carmona. Picture … Some other pic
WEEKEND WEDDINGS — Michael Stwarka, director at Targeted Victory, and Melonye Cleveland got married Saturday in South Carolina, surrounded by family and friends. Moving picture … SPOTTED: Matthew Hoekstra, Mackenzie Jortner Dolan, Peter Freeman and Justin Lampert.
— Judith Rowland, a VP at FleishmanHillard, and Andrew Younger, an architect, got married Saturday at the Contemporary Fine art Museum in their hometown of St. Louis. Pic
WELCOME TO THE Globe — Ashley MacLeay, director of external relations for the Independent Women's Forum and national committeewoman for D.C. to the RNC, and Geoffrey MacLeay, counsel for Rep. Greg Steube (R-Fla.) and a Trump DOL alum, welcomed William Roderick MacLeay on Sat. He came in at 7 lbs, 12 oz and twenty inches. Pic
HAPPY BIRTHDAY: Sen. Ben Cardin (D-Medico.) … Mandy Grunwald … Samsung's Megan Pollock … Karina (Petersen) Borger of Sen. Lisa Murkowski's (R-Alaska) office … sometime Rep. Denny Rehberg (R-Mont.) … Jonathan Wilcox of Rep. Darrell Issa's (R-Calif.) role … Alexandra Pelosi … Timothy Barrett of the office of the DNI (4-0) … AEI's Joseph Kosten … Whitney Vivid … Michael Petruzzello of Qorvis … Matt Well of the Herald Group … Marker Paoletta of Schaerr Jaffe … Facebook's Josh Althouse … Google'south Peter Schottenfels … Brunswick Group's Catherine Hicks … Tyler Goldberg of Media Assembly … Brenda LaGrange Johnson … Hasib Alikozai … Morning Consult'due south Robin Graziano … John Ryan O'Rourke … Nicole Brener-Schmitz of NBS Strategies ... Kevin Hall … Teresa Heinz Kerry … John Jasik … East&Eastward News' Ana Faguy
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